Sudan: Two Failed Sudans Instead of One?

Maggie Fick writing at Foreign Policy, lists a number of political problems facing South Sudan after its referendum on independence.  Although Salva Kiir has brought political and military rivals into his administration, the lack of a common post-referendum goal and enemy may cause political splintering: “the greatest challenge for an independent southern government will be to overcome the growing internal threats to its authority without resorting to repression.”  Charles Kenny argues the situation in the south will improve, pointing to its comparatively higher GDP than most of its immediate neighbors and the ability of new states to provide basic services post-independence.  He also says that fears of a “resource course,” mainly that of the South’s abundant oil reserves, are overblown, and if managed carefully, will help spur growth.  Southern leaders have also shown commitment to good governance which will help the new nation stabilize politically.